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Expect moderate returns in 2010
Consequent to the sharp run up in markets in 2009, investors will have to be careful in picking stocks while lowering their return expectations

Power Min seeks 56% raise in outlay
With states speeding up distribution reforms in the power sector, the requirement for Central funds has gone up by over a half in the next financial year.

News of the day

Heineken inks beer alliance with UB
United Breweries Holdings (UBL) has forged an alliance with Heineken to distribute the Heineken brand in India. The partnership in India is expected to drive growth in one of the world"s fastest growing beer markets. As part of the agreement, Heineken will acquire Asia Pacific Breweries (APB) India -- Asia Pacific Breweries (Aurangabad) and Asia Pacific Breweries-Pearl -- for Euro 25 million (Rs 174 crore). Following completion of this transaction in the first quarter of 2010, Heineken intends to transfer these businesses into UBL during 2010. APB is a joint venture partnership between Heineken and Fraser and Neave.
Business Opportunities

Bank credit shrinks as firms opt for CPs

The decline is Rs 21,186 crore from the fortnight ended July 3 - Little room for immediate cut: Bankers - Govt borrowings may hurt private sector, admits RBI - Gross tax revenue budgeted to decline, says RBI - Kharif production could be affected, says RBI - Economy can grow 6.5%: RBI survey - Bond yields may remain range bound Belying pronouncements of a turnaround, bank credit shrunk by Rs 21,186 crore during the fortnight ended July 17 as companies accessed funds through short-term instruments at lower cost. According to the latest data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) today, outstanding credit by scheduled commercial banks grew 15.38 per cent to Rs 27,77,561 crore as on July 17, 2009, as against Rs 24,07,307 crore a year ago. CREDIT CRUNCH Fortnightended Credit flow Y-o-Y growth (%)* Deposit mobilised Y-o-Y growth (%)* 10-Apr 1,429 18.8 70,726 22.1 24-Apr -25,266 18.1 21,956 22.5 8-May 5,882 17.2 29,260 22.6 22-May 16,306 15.9 15,730 22.6 5-Jun 21,460 15.7 3,656 22.0 19-Jun 13,006 15.8 -5,502 22.0 3-Jul 28,532 16.3 62,559 21.9 17-Jul -21,185 15.3 -18,656 21.8 Figures in Rs crore ; *At the end of fortnight Source: RBI Bank credit had grown by 16.3 per cent on a year-on-year basis to Rs 27,98,747 crore at the end of July 3, 2009. During the previous fortnight, there was an increase of Rs 28,532 crore, which was seen as a turnaround in the falling growth curve, which even RBI pointed to in its first-quarter monetary policy review. Bankers, however, said that the upswing in the previous fortnight was on account of demand for short-term credit as the quarter was drawing to a close and not due to any increase in investment-related demand. “Besides, borrowers have shifted their focus to commercial papers (CPs). There is not much demand for long-term credit,” said a senior executive of a public sector bank. Banks’ prime lending rates (PLRs) are hovering around 11-14 per cent, whereas the rate of interest on three-month CPs is around 4.60 per cent, according to Reuters data. According to the RBI data, the CP outstanding went up from Rs 60,720 crore in May to Rs 67,239 crore at the end of June. Bank executives said that short-term loans, which were sanctioned earlier, were not coming up with renewals. Besides, many companies that had sanctioned lines were not drawing them, they added. “We are not seeing any major pick-up in demand for credit. Neither sanctions nor disbursals have showed any major signs of improvement,” said Partha Mukherjee, president of corporate banking, Axis Bank. He added that a credit recovery would happen soon but it could take as long as six months. Food credit extended by commercial banks stood at Rs 48,148.31 crore as on July 17, 2009, a 4.3 per cent decrease from Rs 50,359.67 recorded on July 18, 2008. Over the fortnight up to July 17, 2009, deposits fell by Rs 18,656 crore to Rs 40,10,051 crore. The dip was mainly on account of demand deposits, which fell by Rs 16,275 crore to Rs 4,95,298 crore. Over the same fortnight, time deposits fell marginally by Rs 2,379 crore to Rs 35,14,752 crore.


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